Ekiti 2026: One-man race looms as Oyebanji consolidates power

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Governor Biodun Oyebanji Ekiti

By Rotimi Ojomoyela, ADO-EKITI

Barring any last-minute political upset, the June 20, 2026 governorship election in Ekiti State is fast shaping into a one-horse race, with Governor Biodun Oyebanji consolidating his grip amid a visibly weakened opposition.

Political observers, analysts and stakeholders across the state say emerging indicators point to an election lacking the traditional competitiveness, as opposition parties struggle with internal crises, weak structures and fading influence.

As campaigns gradually gather momentum, the political contest appears driven less by ideology and more by power blocs, patronage, alliances and strategic realignments.

According to the Independent National Electoral Commission, 12 political parties have been cleared for the poll, with Oyebanji of the All progressives Congress, APC facing candidates from Peoples democratic Party, PDP, African Democratic Congress, ADC, and other smaller parties.

The candidates, running mates and the parties are Opeyemi Falegan and Bayode Omoyeni (Accord); Oluwasegun Akande and Oluwasanmi Fajuyigbe (AAC); Oluwadare Bejide and Ayodeji Babalola (ADC); Ojo Ayodeji and Itunu Ibitoye (ADP); Olanrewaju Anifowose and Adenike Ilesanmi (APM); Biodun Oyebanji and Monisade Afuye (APC).

Others are Olaiya Awogbemi and Akinyemi Adewumi (APP); Oyebanji Olajuyin and Odunayo Okunade (LP); Olaniyi Ayodele and Dorcas Adeniyi (PRP); Damilola Adetunji and Adesina Oyeniyi (ZLP); Olusegun Osinkolu (YPP); and Blessing Abegunde and Ade Francis (NNPP).

Oyebanji’s dominance

Since assuming office in October 2022, Oyebanji has leveraged incumbency advantage, grassroots engagement and a broad coalition of political heavyweights to strengthen his re-election bid.

From regular payment of salaries and pensions to infrastructure development and social intervention programmes, the governor has sustained visibility across the state.

His administration’s “shared prosperity” agenda—covering infrastructure, agriculture, human capital development and governance—has further reinforced his presence at the grassroots.

Notably, Oyebanji has succeeded in rallying past governors across party lines, including Niyi Adebayo, Segun Oni, Ayodele Fayose and Kayode Fayemi—a rare political alignment analysts describe as unprecedented in the state’s history.

Opposition in disarray

In contrast, the opposition remains fragmented.

The PDP candidate, Wole Oluyede, emerged from a competitive primary but has been hampered by prolonged internal crises and legal battles over party leadership.

Although a court ruling ordered his recognition, reconciliation within the party remains elusive, raising concerns about its preparedness for the election.

Similarly, the ADC candidate, Dare Bejide, has maintained a low-key campaign, with limited grassroots penetration and organizational structure.

Analysts say the absence of cohesion among opposition parties may ultimately weaken their chances against the incumbent.

Politics of patronage, alliances

A defining feature of the current political landscape is Oyebanji’s conciliatory and inclusive approach, which has seen him engage and co-opt influential figures across party lines.

Observers note that key opposition actors have either aligned with the governor or softened their stance, reducing the likelihood of a united front against him.

This strategy, anchored on patronage, political accommodation and strategic appointments, has effectively neutralised potential challengers.

Fayose factor, PDP troubles

The role of former governor, Ayodele Fayose, remains a critical variable in the unfolding contest.

Despite being a PDP stalwart, Fayose’s perceived alignment with the APC-led government has deepened divisions within the opposition party.

Analysts argue that his influence has significantly weakened PDP’s cohesion, with fears that loyalists may either abstain or vote across party lines.

National influence, Senate dynamics

At the national level, the influence of Senate Leader, Opeyemi Bamidele, is also shaping political calculations.

Bamidele, who heads the APC campaign council in the state, is seen as a key figure in coordinating alliances and mobilization efforts ahead of the poll.

How the candidates stand

Three months to the poll, how the three main contenders stand, their influence, capacity, strength and weaknesses are instructive.

Oyebanji of APC

Governor Biodun Oyebanji, a former Secretary to the State Government and the flagbearer of All Progressive Congress (APC) was sworn in as Governor of the state on October 16, 2022 and had a head-start because as the sitting Governor, every project and activity are targeted toward earning a second term

There’s hardly any area of of Ekiti that Oyebanji is not known, as he mobilises workers of the state, paid part of their salary arrears and bonuses, pay salaries as and when due, initiate people-centric projects, among others.

He was able to put the name, ‘BAO’ on the lips of the residents through his grassroots engagement, familiarity with critical stakeholders and his ability to unite the past for the betterment of his own future.

Oyebanji, through his human-centric relationship, was able to unite all the past Governors and put them under one umbrella, an herculean task no past Governor had achieved

From the first civilian Governor, Otunba Niyi Adebayo, who doubled as his leader at the party level, to Segun Oni, his rival at the 2022, Gubernatorial election, Or Ayodele Fayose, who despite his repeated announcements that he remained rooted in PDP but still openly supports the APC-led government, and his predecessor, Kayode Fayemi, who was the brain behind his emergence as the candidate of the party at the 2022 primary and the subsequent election.

Oluyede of PDP

The PDP entered the 2026 Ekiti governorship race with early momentum after producing Dr Wole Oluyede as its candidate through a competitive primary in November 2025.

Wole Oluyede, an Australia based and Ikere-Ekiti born, medical doctor and businessman, secured the ticket after defeating other aspirants, positioning himself as the party’s standard-bearer against the incumbent administration.

Oluyede was no minnow in Ekiti Gubernatorial elections, he contested the APC primaries with Dr Kayode Fayemi in 2018 and resurfaced as the ADC flag bearer in the 2022 governorship election, where he contested against the incumbent.

However, the PDP’s position has been significantly weakened by prolonged internal crises and legal disputes. These divisions led to the party’s exclusion from the INEC initial and even final candidate lists.

The situation only began to shift after a court ruling later validated Oluyede as the party’s legitimate candidate and ordered electoral recognition, though reconciliation within the party remains a critical challenge.

On the other hand, the African Democratic Congress has maintained a quiet presence in the race. The party successfully produced and submitted its candidate, a former Secretary to Ekiti Government in the Segun Oni led administration of 2007-2010, Dare Bejide without the high-profile disputes that plagued the PDP, ensuring its place on the ballot.

Bejide an Ilawe-Ekiti born diplomat, he was the Nigerian Ambassador to Canada between 199 and 2000, also served as the pioneer secretary of PDP in Ekiti State.

While the ADC lacks the broad political structure and grassroots dominance of larger parties, its stability and absence of internal wrangling positioned it as a potential alternative for voters seeking a third-force option.

Voter apathy fears

Meanwhile, concerns are mounting over declining voter turnout in the state.

Data from previous elections show a steady drop—from over 50 per cent in 2014 to 36.5 per cent in 2022—raising fears of further apathy if the election is perceived as a foregone conclusion.

Political strategists warn that low participation could undermine the credibility of the electoral process.

Battle for the grassroots

With 16 local government areas and 177 wards, Ekiti’s grassroots structure remains central to electoral success.

However, the APC’s dominance at ward and local government levels gives it a significant advantage in mobilization and vote delivery.

Outlook

With less than three months to the election, the odds appear stacked in favour of the incumbent.

Yet, analysts insist that politics remains unpredictable, noting that shifts in alliances, voter sentiment or opposition resurgence could still alter the trajectory.

For now, however, the 2026 Ekiti governorship race increasingly resembles a one-man show.

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